On-chain Insights by IT Tech - Week 21 Bitcoin Analysis & Highlights #129
Whales Accumulate, Retail Retreats: Bitcoin Faces a Turning Point.
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Table of contents:
🆓 Free content (for all free subscribers):
Follow & Connect
Top 10 Crypto & Stock News (May 19–25, 2025)
Current market situation
Partnership with WymienBitcoina.pl
Weekly Insider Token Unlocks (May 27 – June 2, 2025)
🔐 Premium Insights (exclusive for paid subscribers):
Bitcoin Market Overview: Trending On-Chain Metrics
$400M in BTC Gains Realized – Smart Money Exits or Just a Pause?
Retail vs Institutional Dynamics – A Tale of Two Bitcoin Strategies
Buyer Momentum Reverses – Taker Net Volume Turns Red
Bitcoin ETF Flow – Weekly Snapshot (May 19–23)
Stablecoin Market Overview
Newsletter issue summary
Forecast for the Upcoming Week
1. 📲 Follow & Connect
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2. Top 10 Crypto & Stock News (May 19–25, 2025)
Bitcoin Hits Record Highs
BTC broke past $111,800, overtaking Amazon as the 5th-largest global asset by market cap. The rally is driven by optimism over U.S. regulatory clarity and rising institutional demand.
Stablecoin Regulation Gains Momentum
The GENIUS Act passed the U.S. Senate (66–32), laying the foundation for stablecoin oversight. Market sentiment turned bullish amid expectations of regulatory certainty.
Trump’s $TRUMP Coin Dinner
Over $148M in $TRUMP meme coins were spent for access to an exclusive dinner with President Trump. While VIP holders received perks, most investors took losses post-event.
Coinbase Suffers Major Cyberattack
A cyber breach may cost Coinbase up to $400M. The DOJ has launched an investigation, rattling confidence despite recent price strength.
Kraken Offers 24/7 Equity Tokens
Kraken launched round-the-clock trading for tokenized U.S. equities (Apple, Tesla, Nvidia), expanding access for international crypto investors.
Cardano Joins Strategic U.S. Crypto Reserve
ADA was officially named one of five cryptos (with BTC, ETH, XRP, SOL) in a U.S. strategic digital asset reserve, boosting long-term investor confidence.
Midweek Market Pullback
On May 15, the total crypto market cap fell 4.4% to $3.4T. BTC dipped to $102,700, and major altcoins like XRP and SOL saw losses over 5%.
Bitcoin ETF Inflows Near $41B
BTC ETFs saw two outflow days in May, but cumulative inflows topped $40B, showing unshaken investor interest in institutional products.
U.S. Equities Mixed on Yields
Markets were volatile: the S&P 500 fell 0.39% on May 21, pressured by Treasury yields and deficit worries. Stocks closed flat by May 23 as yields eased.
Alphabet Stock Soars on AI
Following Google I/O 2025, Alphabet ($GOOGL) surged with optimism around new AI capabilities, sparking forecasts of new highs above $180.
3. Current market situation.
Market Update – Week 21 Heatmap Recap
BTC: $107,142 (+3.06%) – regains momentum, pushing above $107K
ETH: $2,483 (–1.51%) – underperforms despite BTC strength
XRP: $0.48 (–4.72%) – continues decline amid weak alt sentiment
BNB: $659.03 (+1.78%) – rebounds modestly, holding up better than most alts
SOL: $171.24 (–0.14%) – relatively flat, range-bound for 2 weeks
DOGE: $0.16 (–6.21%), SHIB: $0.000025 (–3.24%) – meme sector remains under pressure
🟢 Top Gainers (Large Caps & Narratives)
AAVE: $263.19 (+15.47%) – DeFi rotation observed
PEPE: $0.00001436 (+0.34%) – meme coins stabilize
FTN, PI, BCH, SPX, XMR – showing positive momentum across privacy, DeFi, and AI narratives
🔻 Top Decliners
ARB: $0.95 (–13.36%)
APT: $8.21 (–10.32%)
DOT: $7.22 (–6.89%)
UNI: $7.01 (–13.84%)
ICP: $11.50 (–6.27%)
🔍 Sector Trends
Meme coins: Mixed. PEPE stable, but DOGE, SHIB, and FLOKI decline further.
AI tokens: FET, RNDR, and GRT show resilience.
Layer 2s: Weak across the board (ARB, OP, MATIC all in red).
Stablecoins: No major depegs; USDT, USDC, DAI hold steady.
💬 Comment:
Despite the weakness of many altcoins, Bitcoin continues to lead with strength above $107K. Altcoin market remains fragmented, with a sharp bifurcation between outperformers like AAVE and major L1s/L2s that are selling off. Stablecoins and DeFi tokens are showing early signs of rotation.
4. Partnership with WymienBitcoina.pl
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5. Weekly Insider Token Unlocks (May 27 – June 2, 2025)
Total Unlock Volume: Over $192.2M
🔍 Key Highlights
BIO: $28.38M unlock (17.37% of supply) – Highest unlock percentage this week. High risk of sell-side volatility.
SUI: $114.56M unlock (0.88% of supply) – Largest nominal unlock value. Eyes on price reaction post-event.
OP (Optimism): $26.15M (1.83%) – Moderate supply pressure expected near May 31.
KMNO: $6.49M (5.50%) – High % unlock with lower liquidity – elevated volatility likely.
REZ: $5.39M (12.16%) – Thin markets may amplify impact.
🔻 Other Notable Unlocks
DYDX: $6.01M (1.07%) – Gradual unlock profile.
ZETA: $3.74M (1.58%) – Smaller cap, but may react disproportionately.
YGG: $1.52M (1.23%) – Over 79% already unlocked – limited marginal impact expected.
💬 Comment:
The week is unlock-heavy, especially with large allocations in SUI, BIO, and OP. Expect choppy price action across these names. Monitor May 28–June 1 for intraday volatility spikes and potential dip opportunities.
🔐 Premium Insights (exclusive for paid subscribers).
In this week’s premium edition, we explore critical on-chain dynamics that are driving Bitcoin’s structure, from realized profits and taker volume shifts to ETF dominance and stablecoin flows. With retail vs institutional behavior diverging again, subscribers get a clear edge on market inflection points.
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6. 🔐 Bitcoin Market Overview: Trending On-Chain Metrics.
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